Loksabha Election 2024: Before the next year’s Lok Sabha elections, the opposition alliance ‘INDIA’ and the ruling party NDA will have to go through the fire test of the assembly elections to be held in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Telangana later this year.
The result of assembly elections of these states will clear the picture of next year’s Lok Sabha elections to a great extent. Let us know what is the complete mathematics of these states. Who has how many Lok Sabha seats and what is the percent vote bank.
Middle There will be a close fight in the state: There will be direct fight between Congress and BJP in Madhya Pradesh assembly elections. The Congress government was formed in the 2018 assembly elections. Kamal Nath had also become the Chief Minister. Despite this, in the middle of the way, Jyotiraditya Scindia, who was considered a strong pillar of the Congress, left the Congress along with his fellow MLAs and went to the BJP. Because of this the Congress government of Kamal Nath had fallen.
After this, Jyotiaditya had given his support to Shivraj Singh Chouhan. Due to which Shivraj Singh Chouhan again became the Chief Minister. That’s why this time also a close fight between Congress and BJP is certain in the assembly elections.
The whole picture changes in the Lok Sabha: The picture changes completely in the Lok Sabha elections. The BJP-led NDA won a total of 28 seats in MP in 2019 in comparison to the 2014 Lok Sabha elections (27 seats). BJP had gained one seat. While Congress lost one seat.
There was a tremendous jump in BJP’s vote bank. He alone got 58 percent votes. It got one percent more votes this time, while the Congress got 34.50 percent votes and lost one percent of its votes.
Jats and Rajputs changed the maths in Rajasthan: Similar to Madhya Pradesh, the condition of Rajasthan is also there. There too, the performance of the Congress, which leads the opposition coalition India, is excellent in the assembly elections, but the whole math changes in the Lok Sabha elections. The ruling Congress in the 2018 assembly was swept clean in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. Here the NDA along with Jats, Rajputs and Hanuman Beniwal made a clean sweep.
Here BJP itself won 24 out of 25 seats, while one seat was won by Hanuman Beniwal’s Rashtriya Loktantrik Party. Here also BJP got 58.47 percent votes, while Congress got 34.29 percent votes. However, there was an increase of more than 2 percent in the vote bank of Congress. Despite this, he did not get a single seat. Jat leader Hanuman Beniwal, who rebelled from BJP and formed the National Democratic Party, got more than 84 lakh votes in the whole of Rajasthan in an unprecedented performance. This time too he will have a decisive role.
In Chhattisgarh also the result changed in the Lok Sabha: Here too, the Congress government was formed in the 2018 assembly elections. Just a year after this, in the Lok Sabha elections held in 2019, the BJP had pushed the Congress far behind.
Out of total 11 Lok Sabha seats in the state, BJP alone won 9 seats, while Congress got only one seat. Here also in the Lok Sabha elections, BJP got 50.70 percent votes, while Congress got 40 percent votes. Both BJP and Congress had the advantage of 2 percent vote bank, but in terms of seats, BJP won.
The picture may change in the Telangana assembly elections: The Modi government is seeing a lot of hope this time in Telangana. The performance of BJP in the 2018 assembly elections was nothing special. Even after this, it won 4 seats out of 17, performing brilliantly in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.
Compared to the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP got a total vote lead of 10 percent here. That is why BJP is paying special attention to Telangana in the South. Here his main competition was K.K. Chandrasekhar Rao (KCR).
read this also: Lok Sabha Election 2024: NDA or Grand Alliance with whom will Mukesh Sahni go? VIP chief disclosed